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26 July 2023
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China’s projected population more than that of India, Parliament told

UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) had said in April this year China will soon cede its long-held status as the world’s most populous country…reports Asian Lite News

The government informed the Lok Sabha on Tuesday that projected population of India on July 1 this year is less than that of China.

Minister of State for Home Nityanand Rai said in a written reply that as per United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, the total projected population of China at the beginning of this month was about 142 crore. He said by another estimate India’s population is projected at 139 crore . “As per United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division online publication, World Population Prospectus 2022, the total projected population of China as on July 1, 2023 is 142,56,71,000. The projected population of India as on July 1, 2023, as per Report of the Technical Group on Population Projections published by National Commission on Population, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, is 139,23,29,000,” he said.

Responding to a question whether the government proposes to conduct census and the time frame, the minister said that the intent of the Government for conducting Census 2021 was notified in Gazette of India on March 28, 2019.

“Due to outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic, the Census 2021 and the related field activities have been postponed,” he said.

UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) had said in April this year China will soon cede its long-held status as the world’s most populous country.

“By the end of this month, India’s population is expected to reach 1,425,775,850 people,” it had said in a tweet.

Population and China’s economy

A slowing population growth coupled with a steady increase in the ageing population is contributing to the deceleration of China’s economic growth, thereby impacting its journey to become the number one economy in the world, Asian Institute for China and IOR Studies (AICIS) reported.

As per recent data released by the China Power Project at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, China’s population has dwindled for the first time in several decades. The country has for long, reaped the benefits of having a large, young workforce that significantly drove its emergence as a global industrial powerhouse. According to UN figures published earlier this year, India has now surpassed China in terms of its population and has bagged the label of the most populous nation in the world.

China’s population control measures, which were prevalent between the late 1970s until the years 2013-2016, were in fact successful in reducing its huge population.

According to a CGTN report, this was followed by a dip in China’s birth rate wherein the average household size fell from 3.1 to 2.6 persons between 2010 and 2020. These records become vital in understanding why there was no real growth in its population even after an alteration in government policies that encouraged childbirth.

This crisis has been accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Its unpredictability has had an adverse mental impact which has made people decide against having children owing to the financial brunt that would follow.

As per AICIS, young Chinese born in and around the 2000s, currently in their early twenties, are not ready to have kids yet. The government is having a hard time trying to convince its young citizens to bear more children even as the latter do not feel the need or “responsibility” to produce more children just because the birth rate of their country is falling.

The fact that China is sitting on a “demographic time bomb” has, however, not created “any sense of urgency” among its young population even as the government is staying on full alert, according to AICIS. (ANI)

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